Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 3-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
74.63% (![]() | 15.16% (![]() | 10.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.95% (![]() | 32.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.38% (![]() | 53.62% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.74% (![]() | 7.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.7% (![]() | 26.3% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.47% (![]() | 41.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.98% (![]() | 78.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 10.36% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.11% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.97% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 3.62% Total : 74.62% | 1-1 @ 6.95% (![]() 2-2 @ 4% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.16% | 1-2 @ 3.05% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 10.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |