

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.99%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 51.99% ( | 23.01% ( | 25% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.89% ( | 42.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.49% ( | 64.51% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( | 16.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.21% ( | 45.79% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% | 30.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.48% ( | 66.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.99% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
