

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Volendam | 
| 52.86% (  0.23) | 22.64% (  -0.09) | 24.51% (  -0.14) | 
| Both teams to score 59.08% (  0.16) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.12% (  0.29) | 40.88% (  -0.28) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.74% (  0.29) | 63.27% (  -0.28) | 
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.49% (  0.18) | 15.51% (  -0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.58% (  0.34) | 44.42% (  -0.33) | 
| FC Volendam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.93% (  0.05) | 30.07% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.8% (  0.05) | 66.21% (  -0.05) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Volendam | 
| 2-1 @ 9.73% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 8.69% (  -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.1% (  -0) 3-1 @ 6.05% (  0.04) 3-0 @ 5.03% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 3.63% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 2.82% (  0.04) 4-0 @ 2.34% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.69% (  0.02) 5-1 @ 1.05% (  0.02) Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.86% | 1-1 @ 10.44% (  -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.85% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 4.67% (  -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.46% (  0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 6.28% (  -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.61% (  -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.37% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.51% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 21 | 
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 19 | 
| 3 | FC Twente | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 
| 4 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 
| 5 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 
| 7 | Heracles | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 | 
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 | 
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | 
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 | 
| 13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 | 
| 14 | Vitesse | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 | 
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 | 
| 16 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | 
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 | 
| 18 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
