

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 53.68% ( | 23.5% ( | 22.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% ( | 46.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.23% ( | 68.77% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( | 17.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.44% ( | 47.56% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% ( | 34.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.69% ( | 71.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.8% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.1% Total : 22.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
