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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
GelreDome
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
0 - 2
AZ

Kozlowski (33'), Isimat-Mirin (36'), Arcus (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavlidis (49', 64')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 1-3 PSV
Saturday, August 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Brann 3-3 AZ (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Vitesse 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture, and we expect this one to be no different. That said, we are tipping the away side to narrowly pip their hosts to all three points come the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
30.6% (0.728 0.73) 25.73% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 43.68% (-0.758 -0.76)
Both teams to score 53.6% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.187 0.19)50.31% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (0.166 0.17)72.26% (-0.16600000000001 -0.17)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.61 0.61)30.45% (-0.61 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (0.717 0.72)66.65% (-0.717 -0.72)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.279 -0.28)22.94% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.412 -0.41)56.72% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 30.6%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.67%
    Draw 25.72%
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.6%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.71% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.67%

How you voted: Vitesse vs AZ

Vitesse
5.3%
Draw
10.5%
AZ Alkmaar
84.2%
19
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 24
Vitesse
0-1
AZ
Karlsson (29')
Jan 7, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 15
AZ
1-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (77')
Sankoh (87')
May 29, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
6-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), De Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 25
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV88002722524
2AZ AlkmaarAZ87102241822
3FC Twente87011741321
4Feyenoord86202862220
5SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior83411411313
6Go Ahead Eagles84131715213
7Sparta RotterdamSparta83231013-311
8Heracles83231217-511
9Fortuna SittardSittard8233714-79
10NECNijmegen82241315-28
11Vitesse8215611-57
12PEC Zwolle8215714-77
13Heerenveen82151018-87
14Almere CityAlmere City8215718-117
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7205514-96
16Ajax6123812-45
17FC VolendamVolendam7115716-94
18FC UtrechtUtrecht8107417-133

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