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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadi Nacional
AZ Alkmaar

Santa Coloma
0 - 1
AZ


Crespo (45'), Novoa (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mihailovic (74')
Moller Wolfe (86')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between FC Santa Coloma and AZ Alkmaar.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Santa Coloma

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Santa Coloma 3-0 Sutjeska Niksic
Thursday, August 3 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 AZ
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for FC Santa Coloma had a probability of 13.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a FC Santa Coloma win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
FC Santa ColomaDrawAZ Alkmaar
13.49% (0.116 0.12) 20.22% (0.126 0.13) 66.29% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (-0.277 -0.28)47.15% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (-0.259 -0.26)69.38% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
FC Santa Coloma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45.95% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.69% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.65% (-0.157 -0.16)13.35% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.77% (-0.317 -0.32)40.23% (0.316 0.32)
Score Analysis
    FC Santa Coloma 13.49%
    AZ Alkmaar 66.28%
    Draw 20.22%
FC Santa ColomaDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 4.77% (0.056 0.06)
2-1 @ 3.73% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.85% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 0.97%
3-1 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 13.49%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.22%
0-2 @ 12.43%
0-1 @ 12.35% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 8.35% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 4.2% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.69% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 66.28%

How you voted: Santa Coloma vs AZ

FC Santa Coloma
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
AZ Alkmaar
75.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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