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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
39.29% (![]() | 23.79% (![]() | 36.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.14% (![]() | 39.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.78% (![]() | 62.21% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.47% (![]() | 20.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.97% (![]() | 53.03% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.31% (![]() | 21.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.17% (![]() | 54.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 8.53% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 39.29% | 1-1 @ 10.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.23% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |