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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
60.16% (![]() | 20.64% (![]() | 19.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.33% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.68% (![]() | 38.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.4% (![]() | 60.59% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% (![]() | 12.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.73% (![]() | 38.26% (![]() |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% (![]() | 33.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% (![]() | 70.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.9% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 3.92% Total : 60.16% | 1-1 @ 9.48% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.64% | 1-2 @ 5.2% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
5 | FC Twente | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 48 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 46 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 |
9 | Heracles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
13 | Groningen | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 32 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 31 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |