MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 09:13:01| >> :60:913:913:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza Lima
3 - 2
Talleres

Guerrero (11', 57'), Barcos (90+5')
Zambrano (73'), Enrique (80')
Zambrano (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Girotti (62' pen., 69')
Girotti (70'), Navarro (72'), Rick (88')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Talleres.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-2 Alianza Lima
Friday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Talleres 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, April 18 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alianza Lima would win this match.

Result
Alianza LimaDrawTalleres
36.75% (-0.156 -0.16) 28.79% (0.0040000000000013 0) 34.46% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 45.43% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)61.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)81.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)31.84% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72% (-0.114 -0.11)68.28% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Talleres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (0.104 0.1)33.34% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (0.113 0.11)69.96% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Alianza Lima 36.74%
    Talleres 34.46%
    Draw 28.78%
Alianza LimaDrawTalleres
1-0 @ 12.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 36.74%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.78%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Alianza Lima vs Talleres

Alianza Lima
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Talleres
14.3%
7
rhs 2.0
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