MX23RW : Saturday, May 31 04:51:14| >> :120:5482:5482:
Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 11, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza Lima
1 - 1
Deportes Iquique

Quevedo (42')
Quevedo (43'), Enrique (76'), Zambrano (90+14'), Guerrero (90+14'), Garces (90+14')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davila (90')
Javier Blazquez Lavin (41'), Soto (45+8'), Alejandro Gonzalez Ramirez (49'), Rodriguez (65'), Patricio Pino Briceno (90+14'), Ferreyra (90+9')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Alianza Lima and Deportes Iquique.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Deportes Iquique 1-2 Alianza Lima
Tuesday, March 4 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Deportes Iquique 1-2 Alianza Lima
Tuesday, March 4 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Deportes Iquique had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Deportes Iquique win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Alianza LimaDrawDeportes Iquique
60.3% (0.285 0.29) 22.05% (-0.303 -0.3) 17.66% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.62% (0.981 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (1.294 1.29)47.11% (-1.291 -1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (1.192 1.19)69.35% (-1.19 -1.19)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.81% (0.533 0.53)15.19% (-0.531 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.19% (0.992 0.99)43.82% (-0.989 -0.99)
Deportes Iquique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69% (0.79 0.79)40.32% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.06% (0.709 0.71)76.94% (-0.706 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Alianza Lima 60.3%
    Deportes Iquique 17.66%
    Draw 22.04%
Alianza LimaDrawDeportes Iquique
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-0 @ 10.87% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.081 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.045 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 60.3%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2%
Total : 17.66%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2025 10pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Deportes Iquique
1-2
Alianza Lima
Zambrano (66' og.)
Patricio Pino Briceno (11'), Fuentes (56'), Rodriguez (69'), Soto (71')
Barcos (31'), Castillo (34')
Trauco (73'), Martin Cantero (75'), Matias Succar Canote (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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