Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 11, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Alianza Lima1 - 1Deportes Iquique
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Alianza Lima and Deportes Iquique.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Deportes Iquique 1-2 Alianza Lima
Tuesday, March 4 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, March 4 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Deportes Iquique 1-2 Alianza Lima
Tuesday, March 4 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, March 4 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Deportes Iquique had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Deportes Iquique win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alianza Lima | Draw | Deportes Iquique |
60.3% (![]() | 22.05% (![]() | 17.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.89% (![]() | 47.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.65% (![]() | 69.35% (![]() |
Alianza Lima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.81% (![]() | 15.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.19% (![]() | 43.82% (![]() |
Deportes Iquique Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.69% (![]() | 40.32% (![]() |