We said: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Kashima Antlers
Gamba have been in poor form in recent weeks, and though their home record suggests that they could put up a fight, they are unlikely to take anything from the clash.
Kashima have also been impressive on the road, and their surprising away loss last time out could serve as a wake-up call ahead of this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashima Antlers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kashima Antlers.