J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 11, 2025 at 5.05am UK
Grenada National Stadium

Kashima Antlers
2 - 1
Kawasaki

Funabashi (45+1', 45+1'), Tagawa (65', 65')
Kim (35'), Kim (35')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Sasaki (7', 7')
Sasaki (44'), Sasaki (44')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Kashima Antlers
Tuesday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-3 Kawasaki
Wednesday, April 30 at 5.30pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawKawasaki Frontale
43.91% (-0.173 -0.17)25.99% (0.013000000000002 0.01)30.1% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.53% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.018999999999998 0.02)51.58% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (0.015999999999998 0.02)73.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)23.37% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)57.35% (0.111 0.11)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (0.125 0.13)31.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (0.14400000000001 0.14)67.82% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 43.91%
    Kawasaki Frontale 30.1%
    Draw 25.99%
Kashima AntlersDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 10.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.1%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2024 10am
Gameweek 35
Kawasaki
1-3
Kashima Antlers
Yamamoto (90+2')
Segawa (90+5')
Chinen (10'), Higuchi (18'), Misao (28')
Misao (75'), Milosavljevic (90+1')
Mar 17, 2024 6am
Gameweek 4
Kashima Antlers
2-1
Kawasaki
Cavric (47'), Suzuki (50')
Parede (90+7')
Marcinho (36')
Jesiel (34'), Marcinho (54')
Marcinho (75')
Nov 24, 2023 10am
Gameweek 33
Kawasaki
3-0
Kashima Antlers
Damiao (34', 63'), Wakizaka (84' pen.)
Kobayashi (90')

Sano (78'), Hayakawa (82')
Feb 25, 2023 7am
Gameweek 2
Kashima Antlers
1-2
Kawasaki
Chinen (5')
Yamada (89'), Ienaga (90+11' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 11am
Gameweek 27
Kawasaki
2-1
Kashima Antlers
Ienaga (8' pen.), Wakizaka (14')
Schmidt (26'), Tachibanada (68')
Nakama (52')
Pituca (7'), Higuchi (27'), Sekigawa (36')