MX23RW : Sunday, June 1 09:26:32| >> :60:49:49:
Al-Nassr
AFC Champions League | Semi-Finals
Apr 30, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Nassr
2 - 3
Kawasaki

Mane (28'), Yahya (87')
Alawjami (37')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ito (10'), Ozeki (41'), Ienaga (76')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Semi-Finals clash between Al-Nassr and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 1-4 Al-Nassr
Saturday, April 26 at 8.30pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-2 Al-Sadd
Sunday, April 27 at 5.30pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawKawasaki Frontale
48.61% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 23.35% (0.102 0.1) 28.04% (-0.176 -0.18)
Both teams to score 60.01% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)41.17% (0.598 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-0.608 -0.61)63.56% (0.611 0.61)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (-0.196 -0.2)17.14% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (-0.35 -0.35)47.37% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.425 -0.42)27.58% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (-0.553 -0.55)63.1% (0.556 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 48.61%
    Kawasaki Frontale 28.04%
    Draw 23.35%
Al-NassrDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 28.04%

How you voted: Winner Quarter-final 3 vs Winner Quarter-final 4

Winner Quarter-final 3
70.3%
Draw
13.5%
Winner Quarter-final 4
16.2%
37
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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