Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 9
Jun 1, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Nye Fredrikstad Stadion

Fredrikstad
1 - 1
Sarpsborg

Sorlokk (79')
Robert Shein (21'), Ohlenschlaeger (45'), Hagen (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Karlsbakk (90+11')
Koch (72'), Karlsbakk (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fredrikstad

All competitions
Last Game: Fredrikstad 0-2 Rosenborg
Wednesday, May 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Last Game: Sarpsborg 0-1 Tromso
Sunday, May 25 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
FredrikstadDrawSarpsborg 08
36.3% (-0.521 -0.52)28.32% (0.364 0.36)35.37% (0.157 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-1.076 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-1.33 -1.33)59.44% (1.33 1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (-1.034 -1.03)79.81% (1.034 1.03)
Fredrikstad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (-0.99199999999999 -0.99)31.27% (0.993 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (-1.169 -1.17)67.62% (1.169 1.17)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (-0.574 -0.57)31.87% (0.574 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (-0.661 -0.66)68.31% (0.663 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Fredrikstad 36.3%
    Sarpsborg 08 35.37%
    Draw 28.32%
FredrikstadDrawSarpsborg 08
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.3%
1-1 @ 13.24% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.97% (0.49 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.37%

How you voted: Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg

Fredrikstad
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Sarpsborg 08
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 24
Sarpsborg
0-1
Fredrikstad

Reinhardsen (44'), Orjasaeter (54'), Koch (90+6')
Skogvold (48')
Eid (80'), Rafn (83')
Apr 13, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 3
Fredrikstad
2-2
Sarpsborg
Kvile (50'), Kjelsrud Johansen (90+2')
Kvile (72'), Nielsen (73')
Inge Berget (6'), Franklin (74')
Andersen (78'), Zekhnini (90+1')