Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 8
May 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
0 - 1
Tromso


Haheim-Elveseter (28'), Sanyang (39'), Tangen (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jeronimo Semedo Camoes (74')
Edvardsson (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Tromso IL, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Last Game: Brann 2-2 Sarpsborg
Friday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Tromso IL

All competitions
Last Game: Tromso 2-1 Bodo/Glimt
Friday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawTromso IL
53.29% (0.016999999999996 0.02)23.4% (0.012999999999998 0.01)23.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.06% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)45.55% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.12% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)67.88% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)17.04% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)47.21% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.37% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)33.63% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.73% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)70.28% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 53.29%
    Tromso IL 23.31%
    Draw 23.4%
Sarpsborg 08DrawTromso IL
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.29%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.4%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 23.31%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 30
Sarpsborg
2-1
Tromso
Koch (30'), Aron Gudjohnsen (90+2' pen.)
Nordas (65')
Haugaard (31')
Apr 28, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 5
Tromso
0-3
Sarpsborg

Haugaard (26')
Sandberg (17' pen., 27'), Orjasaeter (51')
Aug 26, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 20
Sarpsborg
4-0
Tromso
Maigaard (11'), Fardal Opseth (50'), Skalevik (77'), Sandberg (90+4')
Johan Christiansen (54'), Casas (82'), Wendel Meister (82')
Jun 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 9
Tromso
2-1
Sarpsborg
Vesterlund (73'), Traore (90+2')
Erlien (90+5')
Torp (30')
Torp (49'), Maigaard (58')
Oct 23, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 27
Sarpsborg
1-1
Tromso
Fardal Opseth (83')
Kitolano (76')