Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.