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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Parma logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Parma

Maldini (32', 33')
Djimsiti (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hainaut (49'), Ondrejka (71', 90+1')
Balogh (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 2-3 Atalanta
Saturday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Parma had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawParma
72.51% (0.23399999999999 0.23)16.78% (-0.123 -0.12)10.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.65% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (0.298 0.3)38.73% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (0.315 0.31)61.04% (-0.306 -0.31)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.67% (0.137 0.14)9.33% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.53% (0.31100000000001 0.31)31.47% (-0.302 -0.3)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.76% (0.009999999999998 0.01)45.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.5%
    Parma 10.71%
    Draw 16.78%
Atalanta BCDrawParma
2-0 @ 11.87% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.39% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.45% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.57% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.42% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.64% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.09% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.017 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.04% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 72.5%
1-1 @ 7.94% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 16.78%
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.15% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 10.71%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Parma

Atalanta BC
77.4%
Draw
15.1%
Parma
7.5%
53
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Parma
1-3
Atalanta
Retegui (4'), Ederson (39'), Lookman (75')
Piero Gasperini (54'), Ruggeri (88'), de Roon (90+3')
Piero Gasperini (54')
Aug 4, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Parma
4-1
Atalanta
Man (6', 51'), Bonny (30'), Partipilo (78')
Lookman (33')
May 9, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 35
Parma
2-5
Atalanta
Brunetta (78'), Sohm (88')
Grassi (44')
Malinovskyi (12'), Pessina (52'), Muriel (77', 86'), Miranchuk (90+3')
Hateboer (72')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
Atalanta
3-0
Parma
Muriel (15'), Zapata (49'), Gosens (61')
Pessina (45')

Cyprien (39')
Jul 28, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Parma
1-2
Atalanta
Kulusevski (43')
Darmian (19'), Kucka (45+3')
Malinovskiy (70'), Papu (84')
Sutalo (6')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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