Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan0 - 1Atalanta
We said: AC Milan 2-1 Atalanta BC
Both clubs play their first Easter Sunday fixture in Serie A since 1978, with either side desperately seeking consistency. In better form than Atalanta, Milan rank second for points retrieved from losing positions, so they can overcome any early hiccups and produce another comeback win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
35.13% ( -0.4) | 24.58% ( -0) | 40.29% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 59.07% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
