Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

AC Milan
0 - 1
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ederson (62')
Cuadrado (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-4 AC Milan
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Bologna
Sunday, April 13 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
35.13% (-0.401 -0.4)24.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)40.29% (0.404 0.4)
Both teams to score 59.07% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)43.88% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)66.27% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (-0.25 -0.25)24.48% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08% (-0.351 -0.35)58.92% (0.353 0.35)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (0.172 0.17)21.79% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (0.262 0.26)55% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 35.13%
    Atalanta BC 40.29%
    Draw 24.57%
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.13%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.29%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Atalanta

AC Milan
56.0%
Draw
25.6%
Atalanta BC
18.4%
125
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
2-1
AC Milan
De Ketelaere (12'), Lookman (87')
De Ketelaere (55'), Bellanova (71')
Morata (22')
Fonseca (75')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Leao (3')
Pioli (40'), Leao (45+3')
Koopmeiners (42' pen.)
de Roon (44'), Holm (45+3'), Lookman (56'), Ederson (90+4')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
1-2
Atalanta
Leao (45')
Hernandez (57'), Leao (80')
Mirante (90+7')
Koopmeiners (45+2', 59')
Piero Gasperini (38'), Ederson (90')
Piero Gasperini (38')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
3-2
AC Milan
Lookman (38', 55'), Muriel (90+5')
Ederson (72')
Giroud (45+3'), Jovic (80')
Reijnders (71'), Calabria (80'), Jovic (88'), Bennacer (90+2')
Calabria (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Musso (25' og.), Messias (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118
> Serie A Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!