MX23RW : Wednesday, May 14 12:40:53| >> :120:79713:79713:
Milan logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 2, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter logo

AC Milan
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Abraham (47')
Hernandez (19'), Reijnders (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Calhanoglu (67')
Acerbi (53'), Aurel Bisseck (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia semi-final first leg between AC Milan and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Udinese
Sunday, March 30 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-2 Inter Milan

The gulf between these two Milan giants is evidenced by even a brief glance at the league table, though the Rossoneri have held the upper hand in this season's derbies so far. In-form Inter should win game four of five, as they are producing consistent results while their rivals are in disarray. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
36.83% (-0.623 -0.62) 25.02% (0.315 0.31) 38.15% (0.305 0.31)
Both teams to score 57.69% (-1.166 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26% (-1.495 -1.5)45.74% (1.492 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (-1.438 -1.44)68.06% (1.433 1.43)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-1.014 -1.01)24.4% (1.01 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (-1.452 -1.45)58.81% (1.448 1.45)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)23.69% (0.511 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (-0.744 -0.74)57.8% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 36.83%
    Inter Milan 38.15%
    Draw 25.02%
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.278 0.28)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.359 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.398 0.4)
0-2 @ 5.99% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.15%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Inter Milan

AC Milan
23.2%
Draw
10.4%
Inter Milan
66.4%
125
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2025 5pm
Gameweek 23
AC Milan
1-1
Inter Milan
Reijnders (45')
De Vrij (90+3')
Bastoni (53'), Dumfries (61')
Jan 6, 2025 7pm
Final
Inter Milan
2-3
AC Milan
Martinez (45+1'), Taremi (47')
Mkhitaryan (51'), Dumfries (54'), Barella (72'), Bastoni (89')
Hernandez (52'), Pulisic (80'), Abraham (90+3')
Tomori (57')
Sep 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Dimarco (28')
Mkhitaryan (19'), Calhanoglu (40'), Inzaghi (68'), Asllani (86'), Dimarco (88')
Pulisic (10'), Gabbia (89')
Fofana (38')
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
1-2
Inter Milan
Tomori (80')
Hernandez (36'), Tomori (90+2'), Gabbia (90')
Hernandez (90+3'), Calabria (90+7')
Acerbi (18'), Thuram (49')
Barella (22'), Inzaghi (23'), Martinez (32')
Dumfries (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Inter Milan
5-1
AC Milan
Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
Leao (57')
Thiaw (24'), Hernandez (61')
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal361814466333368
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle362061068452366
4Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
5Chelsea36189962431963
6Aston Villa3618995649763
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest361881056441262
8Brentford361671363531055
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Bournemouth3614111155431253
11Fulham36149135150151
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton36915123944-542
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham361010164259-1740
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd36109174253-1139
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs36115206359438
RIpswich TownIpswich36410223577-4222
RLeicester CityLeicester3657243178-4722
RSouthampton3626282582-5712


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