MX23RW : Sunday, April 27 21:38:44| >> :600:177202:177202:
Milan logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 2, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter logo

AC Milan
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Abraham (47')
Hernandez (19'), Reijnders (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Calhanoglu (67')
Acerbi (53'), Aurel Bisseck (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia semi-final first leg between AC Milan and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Udinese
Sunday, March 30 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-2 Inter Milan

The gulf between these two Milan giants is evidenced by even a brief glance at the league table, though the Rossoneri have held the upper hand in this season's derbies so far. In-form Inter should win game four of five, as they are producing consistent results while their rivals are in disarray. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
36.83% (-0.623 -0.62) 25.02% (0.315 0.31) 38.15% (0.305 0.31)
Both teams to score 57.69% (-1.166 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26% (-1.495 -1.5)45.74% (1.492 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (-1.438 -1.44)68.06% (1.433 1.43)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-1.014 -1.01)24.4% (1.01 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (-1.452 -1.45)58.81% (1.448 1.45)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)23.69% (0.511 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (-0.744 -0.74)57.8% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 36.83%
    Inter Milan 38.15%
    Draw 25.02%
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.278 0.28)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.359 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.398 0.4)
0-2 @ 5.99% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.15%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Inter Milan

AC Milan
23.2%
Draw
10.4%
Inter Milan
66.4%
125
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2025 5pm
Gameweek 23
AC Milan
1-1
Inter Milan
Reijnders (45')
De Vrij (90+3')
Bastoni (53'), Dumfries (61')
Jan 6, 2025 7pm
Final
Inter Milan
2-3
AC Milan
Martinez (45+1'), Taremi (47')
Mkhitaryan (51'), Dumfries (54'), Barella (72'), Bastoni (89')
Hernandez (52'), Pulisic (80'), Abraham (90+3')
Tomori (57')
Sep 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Dimarco (28')
Mkhitaryan (19'), Calhanoglu (40'), Inzaghi (68'), Asllani (86'), Dimarco (88')
Pulisic (10'), Gabbia (89')
Fofana (38')
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
1-2
Inter Milan
Tomori (80')
Hernandez (36'), Tomori (90+2'), Gabbia (90')
Hernandez (90+3'), Calabria (90+7')
Acerbi (18'), Thuram (49')
Barella (22'), Inzaghi (23'), Martinez (32')
Dumfries (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Inter Milan
5-1
AC Milan
Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
Leao (57')
Thiaw (24'), Hernandez (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!