Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Feb 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan3 - 1Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, February 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
34
We said: AC Milan 1-0 Roma
Claudio Ranieri has won six of his eight Coppa Italia ties across various spells as Roma boss, but leading this Giallorossi squad to a rare away win may be asking too much. While Milan are still hit-and-miss, they proved their mettle in the Supercoppa and have become tougher to beat under new management. A semi-final clash with either Inter or Lazio awaits. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
45.94% ( -2.59) | 25.06% ( 0.61) | 29.01% ( 1.98) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
