MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 01:49:05| >> :600:122690:122690:
Potential new EL header

Europa League
Roma logo
Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo

Roma
2 - 1
AC Milan

Mancini (12'), Dybala (22')
Celik (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gabbia (85')
Calabria (32'), Gabbia (46'), Adli (51'), Jovic (77'), Tomori (89'), Hernandez (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Roma book their spot in the semi-finals of the Europa League courtesy of a 3-1 aggregate victory over Serie A rivals AC Milan in the quarter-finals of the competition.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League

AC Milan

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Sassuolo 3-3 AC Milan
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawAC Milan
40.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 33.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (0.042999999999999 0.04)49.44% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)71.47% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.016999999999996 0.02)24.1% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)58.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (0.034000000000006 0.03)27.98% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (0.039999999999999 0.04)63.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Roma 40.56%
    AC Milan 33.68%
    Draw 25.75%
RomaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.56%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.68%

How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan

Roma
40.6%
Draw
18.4%
AC Milan
41.0%
266
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
0-1
Roma

Pioli (17'), Pulisic (33'), Adli (63'), Loftus-Cheek (73')
Mancini (17')
Cristante (38')
> Match Report
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
AC Milan
3-1
Roma
Adli (11'), Giroud (56'), Hernandez (84')
Kjaer (71'), Gabbia (90')
Paredes (69' pen.)
Mancini (43'), Cristante (56'), Huijsen (81')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Spinazzola (90+2')
Paredes (69'), Lukaku (85')
Giroud (9' pen.), Leao (48')
Tomori (19'), Loftus-Cheek (34'), Okafor (90+7')
Tomori (61')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 32
Roma
1-1
AC Milan
Abraham (90+4')
Saelemaekers (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
AC Milan
2-2
Roma
Kalulu (30'), Pobega (77')
Ibanez (87'), Abraham (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!