

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Roma | 
| 45.46% (  0.25) | 26.07% (  0.05) | 28.46% (  -0.3) | 
| Both teams to score 51.32% (  -0.34) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.29% (  -0.35) | 52.7% (  0.35) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.65% (  -0.31) | 74.34% (  0.3) | 
| Fiorentina Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.87% (  -0.04) | 23.12% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.01% (  -0.05) | 56.98% (  0.05) | 
| Roma Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.76% (  -0.41) | 33.23% (  0.41) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.15% (  -0.46) | 69.84% (  0.45) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fiorentina | Draw | Roma | 
| 1-0 @ 11.25% (  0.15) 2-1 @ 9.08% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% (  0.1) 3-1 @ 4.43% (  -0) 3-0 @ 4.02% (  0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.62% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% (  0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 12.39% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% (  0.11) 2-2 @ 5% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.47% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 6.83% (  -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.66% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.84% (  -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.71% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 28.46% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 | 
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 | 
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 | 
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 | 
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 | 
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 | 
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 | 
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 | 
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 | 
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 | 
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 | 
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 | 
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 | 
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 | 
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
