

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 25.11% ( | 25.36% ( | 49.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.94% ( | 52.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.21% ( | 73.78% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.39% ( | 35.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.62% ( | 72.37% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( | 21.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.17% ( | 53.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 2-0 @ 3.99% ( 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 3-0 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 25.11% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0-2 @ 9.1% ( 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0-3 @ 4.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 74 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 65 |
| 4 | Juventus | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 60 |
| 6 | Bologna | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 60 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 59 |
| 8 | Lazio | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 59 |
| 9 | AC Milan | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Como | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 42 |
| 12 | Udinese | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 40 |
| 13 | Genoa | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 39 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 32 |
| 15 | Parma | 33 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 30 |
| 17 | Lecce | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 56 | -32 | 27 |
| 18 | VeneziaVenezia | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 25 |
| 19 | Empoli | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 25 |
| 20 | Monza | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 15 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
