

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Frosinone |
| 65.42% ( | 19.48% ( | 15.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% ( | 40.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.17% ( | 62.82% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.41% ( | 11.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.44% ( | 36.55% ( |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% ( | 39.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.81% ( | 76.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Frosinone |
| 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 3-0 @ 7.64% ( 3-1 @ 7.1% ( 4-0 @ 4.12% ( 4-1 @ 3.82% ( 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 5-1 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 3.89% Total : 65.41% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.48% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
