Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras2 - 1Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Independiente del Valle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-0 Independiente
Thursday, May 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
Result | ||
Palmeiras | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
64.55% ( 0.25) | 20.54% ( -0.12) | 14.91% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 49.44% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.41% ( 0.27) | 45.59% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.09% ( 0.26) | 67.91% ( -0.25) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.62% ( 0.16) | 13.38% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.72% ( 0.32) | 40.28% ( -0.32) |
Independiente del Valle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.07% ( -0.02) | 42.93% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.77% ( -0.01) | 79.23% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Palmeiras 64.54%
Independiente del Valle 14.91%
Draw 20.54%
Palmeiras | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
2-0 @ 11.61% 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 64.54% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.54% | 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 14.91% |
Head to Head
May 12, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Independiente
0-1
Palmeiras
Apr 28, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Palmeiras
5-0
Independiente
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-16 05:05:59
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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