

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 31.47% ( | 22.14% ( | 46.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.8% ( | 33.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.05% ( | 54.95% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( | 21.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.51% ( | 54.49% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% ( | 14.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.67% ( | 43.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.58% Total : 31.47% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 3-3 @ 2.23% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 1-3 @ 5.65% ( 2-3 @ 4.35% ( 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 1-4 @ 2.69% ( 2-4 @ 2.07% ( 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 3-4 @ 1.06% ( 1-5 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 46.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
