MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 00:40:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 24, 2025 at 8pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
PSV

FC Twente
1 - 3
PSV

van Wolfswinkel (1')
Unuvar (24'), Vlap (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perisic (11'), Til (53'), de Jong (57')
Veerman (32'), Obispo (45+1'), Ledezma (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 FC Twente
Sunday, April 13 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

Twente have experienced a notable dip in form since that big loss to Feyenoord ahead of the March international break, and a defeat here could see them end the weekend in seventh place if results elsewhere go against them. PSV, meanwhile, will be full of confidence after their commanding victory last week, combined with Ajax losing for the first time since December, and we feel the visitors will pull within six points of the league leaders with a win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
FC TwenteDrawPSV Eindhoven
31.47% (0.038 0.04) 22.14% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 46.39% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 66.81% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8% (0.214 0.21)33.2% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.05% (0.245 0.25)54.95% (-0.244 -0.24)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.12299999999999 0.12)21.46% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (0.19 0.19)54.49% (-0.188 -0.19)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.06% (0.080999999999989 0.08)14.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.67% (0.157 0.16)43.33% (-0.156 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 31.47%
    PSV Eindhoven 46.39%
    Draw 22.14%
FC TwenteDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 31.47%
1-1 @ 9.38% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.21% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.35% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.69% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.07% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 46.39%

How you voted: FC Twente vs PSV

FC Twente
10.4%
Draw
14.6%
PSV Eindhoven
75.0%
48
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
6-1
FC Twente
Lang (20'), Tillman (34'), Saibari (45+2', 54'), Ledezma (63'), Pepi (85')
Steijn (10')
Bruns (60')
Mar 17, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 26
PSV
1-0
FC Twente
Pepi (90+6')
de Jong (33'), Tillman (69')

Boadu (55'), Unnerstall (57'), Regeer (83'), Smal (90+1')
Jan 17, 2024 8pm
Second Round
PSV
3-1
FC Twente
Vertessen (19'), De Jong (55'), Bakayoko (61')
Teze (64')
Ugalde (68')
Propper (58'), Rots (81')
Nov 25, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 13
FC Twente
0-3
PSV

Propper (90+4')
Hilgers (25')
Veerman (45+1'), Propper (49' og.), Bakayoko (82')
Schouten (52'), Bakayoko (80')
Feb 26, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 23
PSV
3-1
FC Twente
Silva (9'), De Jong (57'), Simons (74')
Misidjan (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord30188468323662
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Groningen3098133245-1335
10Heracles30811113752-1535
11Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
12NECNijmegen2996144243-133
13Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle30710133548-1331
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3047193562-2719
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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