

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.39%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.47% and a draw had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (4.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 64.39% (  -0.24) | 17.14% (  0.12) | 18.47% (  0.11) | 
| Both teams to score 70.79% (  -0.3) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 77.85% (  -0.43) | 22.15% (  0.43) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 58.9% (  -0.6) | 41.1% (  0.6) | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 93.22% (  -0.16) | 6.77% (  0.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.99% (  -0.43) | 25.01% (  0.43) | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.93% (  -0.19) | 24.06% (  0.19) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.65% (  -0.27) | 58.35% (  0.28) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 2-1 @ 8.41% (  0.07) 3-1 @ 7.55% (  -0) 2-0 @ 5.91% (  0.08) 3-2 @ 5.38% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.3% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 5.08% (  -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.39% (  0.1) 4-2 @ 3.62% (  -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.57% (  -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.74% (  -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.95% (  -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.92% (  -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.72% (  -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.23% (  -0.03) 5-3 @ 0.93% (  -0.03) Other @ 4.7% Total : 64.39% | 1-1 @ 6.25% (  0.11) 2-2 @ 5.99% (  0.02) 3-3 @ 2.55% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 1.63% (  0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 17.14% | 1-2 @ 4.45% (  0.05) 2-3 @ 2.85% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.32% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 2.11% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 1.65% (  0.03) 2-4 @ 1.01% (  -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.91% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 18.47% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 | 
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 | 
| 11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 | 
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 | 
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
