

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.39%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.47% and a draw had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (4.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 64.39% ( | 17.14% ( | 18.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 70.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.85% ( | 22.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.9% ( | 41.1% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.22% ( | 6.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.99% ( | 25.01% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( | 24.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.65% ( | 58.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 3-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 4-1 @ 5.08% ( 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 4-2 @ 3.62% ( 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 5-2 @ 1.95% ( 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 4-3 @ 1.72% ( 6-1 @ 1.23% ( 5-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 4.7% Total : 64.39% | 1-1 @ 6.25% ( 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 3-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-0 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 17.14% | 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0-1 @ 2.32% ( 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 3-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 18.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
| 12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
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