

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 4-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.83%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
| 83.4% ( | 10.69% ( | 5.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.95% ( | 25.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.01% ( | 44.98% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.69% ( | 4.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.14% ( | 17.86% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.81% ( | 46.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.13% ( | 81.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
| 3-0 @ 10.31% ( 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 4-0 @ 8.11% ( 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 4-1 @ 6.26% 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 5-0 @ 5.1% ( 5-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 6-0 @ 2.67% ( 4-2 @ 2.42% ( 6-1 @ 2.06% ( 5-2 @ 1.52% ( 7-0 @ 1.2% ( 7-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 4.14% Total : 83.4% | 1-1 @ 4.83% ( 2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0-0 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.93% Total : 10.69% | 1-2 @ 1.87% ( 0-1 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 5.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 53 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 31 | 16 | 46 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Groningen | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 32 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 18 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
