Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Municipal La Cocha
Mushuc Runa3 - 2Palestino
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Mushuc Runa and Palestino.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Catolica 1-1 Palestino (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, March 5 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, March 5 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mushuc Runa win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mushuc Runa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Palestino win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mushuc Runa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mushuc Runa | Draw | Palestino |
41.38% ( -1.76) | 26.36% ( -0.11) | 32.25% ( 1.86) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
