Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Riobamba
Mushuc Runa2 - 1Orense
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Mushuc Runa and Orense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mushuc Runa win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Orense had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mushuc Runa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Orense win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mushuc Runa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mushuc Runa | Draw | Orense |
57.66% ( 0.83) | 25.11% ( -0.35) | 17.23% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 41.33% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
