MX23RW : Saturday, May 31 02:52:02| >> :60:623:623:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 29, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida

Palestino
0 - 2
Mushuc Runa


Espinoza (19'), Meza (57'), Fernandez (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (70'), Penilla (88')
Tapiero (24'), Nicolas Davila Alarcon (45+2'), Fabian Quintero Loor (46'), Sinisterra (68')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Palestino and Mushuc Runa.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Palestino
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Union 0-1 Mushuc Runa
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Mushuc Runa win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
PalestinoDrawMushuc Runa
49.15% (0.262 0.26) 23.41% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 27.43% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.27% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-0.466 -0.47)41.92% (0.468 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68% (-0.469 -0.47)64.32% (0.46999999999999 0.47)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)17.22% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (-0.138 -0.14)47.52% (0.14 0.14)
Mushuc Runa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6% (-0.462 -0.46)28.39% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.86% (-0.587 -0.59)64.14% (0.58799999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 49.15%
    Mushuc Runa 27.43%
    Draw 23.41%
PalestinoDrawMushuc Runa
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.157 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 49.15%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 27.43%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2025 3am
Group Stage
Mushuc Runa
3-2
Palestino
Haquin (41'), Sinisterra (75'), Alonso (82')
Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (26'), Nicolas Davila Alarcon (60'), Fabian Quintero Loor (73')
Marabel (71'), Carrasco (90+3')
Meza (38'), Ceza (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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