J1 League | Gameweek 19
May 31, 2025 at 6am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Izumi (54', 54'), Kikuchi (90', 90'), Yamagishi (90+2', 90+2')
Nagai (74'), Nagai (74'), (75'), (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hashimoto (18'), Hashimoto (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Urawa
Saturday, May 24 at 9.30am in J1 League

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, May 25 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawAlbirex Niigata
38.95% (-0.136 -0.14)27.63% (0.053000000000001 0.05)33.42% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 48.66% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93% (-0.18 -0.18)57.07% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (-0.142 -0.14)77.95% (0.143 0.14)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-0.164 -0.16)28.5% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (-0.204 -0.2)64.28% (0.206 0.21)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)31.95% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.041 -0.04)68.41% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 38.95%
    Albirex Niigata 33.41%
    Draw 27.63%
Nagoya GrampusDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.95%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.11% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.39% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.41%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata

Nagoya Grampus
100%
Draw
0.0%
Albirex Niigata
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2024 11am
Gameweek 29
Nagoya Grampus
3-0
Albirex Niigata
Nogami (15'), Nagai (44'), Kikuchi (78')

Akiyama (62')
Mar 9, 2024 5am
Gameweek 3
Albirex Niigata
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Hasegawa (88')
Arai (83')

Nagai (29')
Aug 5, 2023 11am
Gameweek 22
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Albirex Niigata
Morishita (14')
Yonemoto (85')

Tagami (37'), Ota (75'), Ko (85')
Apr 1, 2023 6am
Gameweek 6
Albirex Niigata
1-3
Nagoya Grampus
Ota (35')
Nagai (56'), Junker (80'), Inagaki (90+4')