Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.