J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 3
FC Tokyo

Kasai (66', 66'), Gomes (90+9', 90+9')
Fujiwara (90+6'), Fujiwara (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ryan (8', 8', 82', 82'), Koizumi (52', 52')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Tuesday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse
Tuesday, April 29 at 5.05am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawFC Tokyo
39.23% (0.319 0.32)25.4% (-0.226 -0.23)35.37% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.2% (0.771 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (0.999 1)47.6% (-0.995 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (0.915 0.91)69.8% (-0.911 -0.91)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (0.619 0.62)23.96% (-0.615 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (0.874 0.87)58.2% (-0.87 -0.87)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (0.42 0.42)26.08% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (0.56 0.56)61.14% (-0.558 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 39.23%
    FC Tokyo 35.37%
    Draw 25.4%
Albirex NiigataDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 35.37%

Head to Head
Jul 13, 2024 11am
Gameweek 23
FC Tokyo
2-0
Albirex Niigata
Endo (6'), Nozawa (78')
Kimoto (42')

Endo (24'), Horigome (36')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2024 6am
Gameweek 10
Albirex Niigata
1-3
FC Tokyo
Hayakawa (90')
Miyamoto (26'), Chiba (34'), Ota (82')
Nakagawa (39'), Shirai (49'), Oliveira (62')
Nov 11, 2023 5am
Gameweek 32
Albirex Niigata
0-0
FC Tokyo
Hoshi (23'), Fitzgerald (32')
Matsuki (44'), Koizumi (50')
Apr 29, 2023 7am
Gameweek 10
FC Tokyo
2-1
Albirex Niigata
Nakagawa (8'), Oliveira (34')
Ito (12')