J1 League | Gameweek 13

Apr 29, 2025 at 5.05am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
0 - 2
Shimizu S-Pulse

Higashi (87'), Higashi (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kitagawa (45+1' pen., 45+1' pen.), Inui (79', 79')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Friday, April 25 at 11.30am in J1 League

Goals
for

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions

Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shimizu S-Pulse would win this match.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
36.11% ( -0.28)	26.21% ( 0.13)	37.68% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 53.5% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.9% (

-0.55)

51.1% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.05% (

-0.48)

72.95% (

0.49)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

-0.42)

27.31% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

-0.56)

62.75% (

0.56)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

-0.17)

26.4% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

-0.23)

61.56% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 36.11%

Shimizu S-Pulse 37.68%

Draw 26.21%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.68%