J1 League | Gameweek 11
Apr 20, 2025 at 7am UK
KINCHO Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 1
FC Tokyo

Ratao (6', 6')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Sato (19' pen., 19' pen.)
Anzai (15'), Anzai (15'), Sato (45'), Sato (45'), Hashimoto (55'), Hashimoto (55'), Nagatomo (77'), Nagatomo (77')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, April 12 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Reysol
Friday, April 11 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawFC Tokyo
44.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)25.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)30.26% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.22% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.076000000000001 0.08)49.42% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.067 0.07)71.46% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.032999999999987 0.03)22.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (0.050999999999995 0.05)55.74% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (0.049000000000007 0.05)30.22% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (0.060000000000002 0.06)66.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 44.25%
    FC Tokyo 30.26%
    Draw 25.48%
Cerezo OsakaDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.26%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 5am
Gameweek 38
FC Tokyo
3-0
Cerezo
Nakagawa (10'), Ko (40'), Trevisan (88')
Feb 24, 2024 6am
Gameweek 1
Cerezo
2-2
FC Tokyo
Capixaba (26'), Tanaka (51')
Araki (33', 75')
Araki (20'), Nagatomo (44'), Silva (72'), Trevisan (85')
Aug 6, 2023 11am
Gameweek 22
Cerezo
0-1
FC Tokyo

Kida (47')
Matsuki (8')
Perotti (41'), Trevisan (65'), Breno Souza Silva (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 8am
Gameweek 8
FC Tokyo
1-2
Cerezo
Watanabe (68')
Okuno (59', 84')
Oct 12, 2022 11am
Gameweek 25
FC Tokyo
4-0
Cerezo
Watanabe (48', 76', 77'), Phellype (83')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers19131529151440
2Kyoto Sanga2010463022834
3Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa219752620634
4Kashiwa ReysolReysol199732217534
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1810262014632
6Vissel KobeVissel Kobe189362319430
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki1878330191129
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo208573026429
9Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse197482626025
10Machida Zelvia197482223-125
11Fagiano OkayamaOkayama196671617-124
12Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka197392327-424
13Tokyo Verdy196671318-524
14Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus196582426-223
15Avispa Fukuoka196581519-423
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare196491423-922
17Yokohama FCYokohama FC1954101320-719
18FC Tokyo185491726-919
19Albirex Niigata183781927-816
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama1835101826-814


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!