J1 League | Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 at 5am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
3 - 0
Cerezo

Nakagawa (10', 10'), Ko (40', 40'), Trevisan (88', 88')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 0-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawCerezo Osaka
38.01% (0.41699999999999 0.42)25.82% (0.035 0.04)36.17% (-0.451 -0.45)
Both teams to score 54.84% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61% (-0.179 -0.18)49.39% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (-0.161 -0.16)71.43% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.146 0.15)25.43% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (0.197 0.2)60.24% (-0.197 -0.2)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.343 -0.34)26.46% (0.344 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.46 -0.46)61.64% (0.459 0.46)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 38.01%
    Cerezo Osaka 36.17%
    Draw 25.81%
FC TokyoDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.105 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.01%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 36.17%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 6am
Gameweek 1
Cerezo
2-2
FC Tokyo
Capixaba (26'), Tanaka (51')
Araki (33', 75')
Araki (20'), Nagatomo (44'), Silva (72'), Trevisan (85')
Aug 6, 2023 11am
Gameweek 22
Cerezo
0-1
FC Tokyo

Kida (47')
Matsuki (8')
Perotti (41'), Trevisan (65'), Breno Souza Silva (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 8am
Gameweek 8
FC Tokyo
1-2
Cerezo
Watanabe (68')
Okuno (59', 84')
Oct 12, 2022 11am
Gameweek 25
FC Tokyo
4-0
Cerezo
Watanabe (48', 76', 77'), Phellype (83')
Mar 6, 2022 7am
Gameweek 3
Cerezo
0-1
FC Tokyo
Konno (23')
Aoki (30'), Slowik (90+4')
Aoki (61')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers19131529151440
2Kyoto Sanga2010463022834
3Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa219752620634
4Kashiwa ReysolReysol199732217534
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1810262014632
6Vissel KobeVissel Kobe189362319430
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki1878330191129
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo208573026429
9Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse197482626025
10Machida Zelvia197482223-125
11Fagiano OkayamaOkayama196671617-124
12Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka197392327-424
13Tokyo Verdy196671318-524
14Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus196582426-223
15Avispa Fukuoka196581519-423
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare196491423-922
17Yokohama FCYokohama FC1954101320-719
18FC Tokyo185491726-919
19Albirex Niigata183781927-816
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama1835101826-814
> J1 League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!