J1 League | Gameweek 22
Aug 6, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 1
FC Tokyo


Kida (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Matsuki (8')
Perotti (41'), Trevisan (65'), Breno Souza Silva (90+3')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: PSG 2-3 Cerezo
Friday, July 28 at 11.20am in Club Friendlies 1

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawFC Tokyo
46.28% (-0.175 -0.18)26.36% (0.086000000000002 0.09)27.36% (0.087 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.73% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.58% (-0.285 -0.29)54.42% (0.283 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21% (-0.238 -0.24)75.79% (0.23599999999999 0.24)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.206 -0.21)23.48% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.297 -0.3)57.5% (0.29499999999999 0.29)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)35.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)71.75% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 46.27%
    FC Tokyo 27.36%
    Draw 26.36%
Cerezo OsakaDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 11.91% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.36%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 8am
Gameweek 8
FC Tokyo
1-2
Cerezo
Watanabe (68')
Okuno (59', 84')
Oct 12, 2022 11am
Gameweek 25
FC Tokyo
4-0
Cerezo
Watanabe (48', 76', 77'), Phellype (83')
Mar 6, 2022 7am
Gameweek 3
Cerezo
0-1
FC Tokyo
Konno (23')
Aoki (30'), Slowik (90+4')
Aoki (61')
Jul 21, 2021 11am
Gameweek 21
Cerezo
3-3
FC Tokyo
Kato (46'), Sakamoto (57'), Tiago (74')
Matsuda (59'), Matsuda (88'), Tiago (90+3')
Leandro (13', 82'), Oliveira (39')
Morishige (67')
Mar 6, 2021 5am
Gameweek 2
FC Tokyo
3-2
Cerezo
Silva (37'), Morishige (79')
Seko (19'), Harakawa (69')