Hiroshima

2 - 1

Cerezo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.