MX23RW : Friday, May 30 03:26:51| >> :120:4228:4228:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 8, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Municipal La Cocha
Cruzeiro

Mushuc Runa
1 - 1
Cruzeiro

Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (54')
Nicolas Davila Alarcon (26'), Arturo Arce Mina (67'), Penilla (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diaz (61')
de Jesus Alves (38'), Rhikman Alves Pimentel (45+1')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Mushuc Runa and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mushuc Runa

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Mushuc Runa 3-0 Union
Thursday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo
Sunday, May 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 46.98%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Mushuc Runa win it was 1-0 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Mushuc RunaDrawCruzeiro
26.06% (2.21 2.21) 26.96% (-0.278 -0.28) 46.98% (-1.932 -1.93)
Both teams to score 47.05% (2.628 2.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.59% (2.412 2.41)57.41% (-2.413 -2.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.78% (1.88 1.88)78.22% (-1.88 -1.88)
Mushuc Runa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (3.359 3.36)37.73% (-3.359 -3.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.5% (3.131 3.13)74.5% (-3.131 -3.13)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.15300000000001 0.15)24.45% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.215 0.22)58.89% (-0.215 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Mushuc Runa 26.06%
    Cruzeiro 46.98%
    Draw 26.96%
Mushuc RunaDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6.17% (0.565 0.57)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.384 0.38)
3-1 @ 2.01% (0.343 0.34)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.238 0.24)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.247 0.25)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 26.06%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.875 -0.88)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.415 0.42)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 12.99% (-1.18 -1.18)
0-2 @ 9.15% (-0.789 -0.79)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.349 -0.35)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.203 0.2)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 46.98%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Cruzeiro
1-2
Mushuc Runa
Barbosa (67' pen.)
Pereira (45+2'), Wanderson (45+3'), de Jesus Alves (46')
Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (29'), Bentaberry (77')
Arturo Arce Mina (45+2'), Mina (66'), Nicolas Davila Alarcon (75')
rhs 2.0
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