MX23RW : Monday, April 28 02:41:48| >> :120:13209:13209:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sanchez Rumoroso
Cruzeiro

Palestino
2 - 1
Cruzeiro

Suarez (40'), Arias (86')
Marabel (90+5'), Meza (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Eduardo (83')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Palestino and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Palestino 2-0 Union
Wednesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Cruzeiro
Monday, April 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Palestino win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
PalestinoDrawCruzeiro
27.39% (0.863 0.86) 27.32% (0.56 0.56) 45.29% (-1.426 -1.43)
Both teams to score 47% (-0.965 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.05% (-1.543 -1.54)57.95% (1.54 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.35% (-1.23 -1.23)78.65% (1.229 1.23)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1% (-0.125 -0.13)36.9% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31% (-0.125 -0.13)73.69% (0.123 0.12)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (-1.382 -1.38)25.52% (1.38 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (-1.925 -1.93)60.37% (1.922 1.92)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 27.39%
    Cruzeiro 45.28%
    Draw 27.32%
PalestinoDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 9.39% (0.507 0.51)
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.078 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.238 0.24)
3-1 @ 2.12% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 27.39%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 9.42% (0.539 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 12.85% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.185 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.28%

rhs 2.0
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