MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 22:29:34| >> :60:24:24:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 1, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Cruzeiro

Union
1 - 0
Cruzeiro

Gabriel Diaz (90+4')
Domina (37'), Paz (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Christian (40')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aldosivi 2-1 Union
Thursday, March 27 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Mirassol
Saturday, March 29 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Union had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 1-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
UnionDrawCruzeiro
32.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 30.1% (0.0040000000000013 0) 37.65% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 41.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.4% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)65.6% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)84.3%
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.058 0.06)37.31% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.055999999999997 0.06)74.1% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)33.6% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)70.24% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Union 32.23%
    Cruzeiro 37.65%
    Draw 30.1%
UnionDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 12.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 32.23%
1-1 @ 13.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.53%
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 30.1%
0-1 @ 13.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.65%

rhs 2.0
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