We said: Olimpia 2-1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
San Antonio's dramatic 3-2 victory remains the only previous meeting between these sides, but despite that triumph, the Bolivians are yet to find the net away from home in the competition, just as Olimpia have failed to register on their own patch.
Nevertheless, the narrative feels ripe for a twist, with both teams desperate to bow out with something to show for their efforts — and it is the hosts who may just edge this one, fuelled by the energy of their own crowd.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 68.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for San Antonio Bulo Bulo had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a San Antonio Bulo Bulo win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olimpia would win this match.
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