Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
May 31, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Sao Paulo

Bahia
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Jose (53', 73' pen.)
Kayky (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luciano (85' pen.)
Luciano (59'), Rodriguinho (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Bahia
Wednesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Talleres
Tuesday, May 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawSao Paulo
48.59% (0.023000000000003 0.02)26.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)24.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.84% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.15% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.78% (0.018000000000001 0.02)77.22% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.019000000000005 0.02)23.15% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (0.029000000000003 0.03)57.03% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)74.74%
Score Analysis
    Bahia 48.59%
    Sao Paulo 24.99%
    Draw 26.41%
BahiaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.59%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 8.79% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.99%

How you voted: Bahia vs Sao Paulo

Bahia
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Sao Paulo
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Bahia
0-3
Sao Paulo

Lucas (51'), Kanu (61'), Xavier (79')
Gustavo (40'), Rato (66'), Moura (90+1')
Antonio (35'), Sabino (55')
Jun 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 13
Sao Paulo
3-1
Bahia
Calleri (30'), Ferreira (32'), Luciano (65')
Ferreira (34'), Cuberas (34'), Luciano (65'), Alisson (86'), Gustavo (89')
Gilberto (49')
Kanu (44')
> Preview
Nov 29, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
0-1
Sao Paulo

Yago (54'), Kanu (87'), Ratao (90'), Mugni (90+2')
Paulista (90+7')
Beraldo (81'), Costa (90+1'), Paulista (90+8')
Jul 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Sao Paulo
0-0
Bahia
Bahia (18'), Gilberto (25'), Xavier (31'), Ratao (76')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 30
Bahia
1-0
Sao Paulo
Rossi (77')
de Lucca (69')

Rigoni (43'), Liziero (57')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo117312442024
2Cruzeiro11722178923
3BragantinoBragantino11722148623
4PalmeirasPalmeiras11713128422
5Fluminense116231512320
6Botafogo11533147718
7Bahia115331111018
8Mirassol114521712517
9Atletico Mineiro114521110117
10CearaCeara114341311215
11Corinthians114341214-215
12Gremio114341114-315
13Sao Paulo11263911-212
14InternacionalInternacional112541216-411
15Vasco da GamaVasco113171115-410
16Vitoria112451014-410
17FortalezaFortaleza112451015-510
18SantosSantos11227812-48
19JuventudeJuventude11227824-168
20Sport RecifeSport11038518-133
> Brasileiro Full Table


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