Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Apr 22, 2025 at 12am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Ceara

Bahia
1 - 0
Ceara

Ribeiro (90+14' pen., 90+14' pen.)
Ademir (49'), Ademir (49'), Macedo Moraes (64'), Ribeiro (64'), Macedo Moraes (64'), Ribeiro (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mugni (40'), Mugni (40'), Ramos (76'), Ramos (76'), Sobral (84'), Sobral (84'), Silva (90+14'), Silva (90+14')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Ceara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-0 Bahia
Friday, April 18 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 2-1 Vasco
Wednesday, April 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result
BahiaDrawCeara
60.77% (-0.459 -0.46)22.72% (0.213 0.21)16.51% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 46.34% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.432 -0.43)51.66% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (-0.375 -0.38)73.44% (0.378 0.38)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)16.59% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (-0.558 -0.56)46.4% (0.56 0.56)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.56% (0.065000000000005 0.07)44.44% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.52% (0.052 0.05)80.48% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 60.76%
    Ceara 16.51%
    Draw 22.72%
BahiaDrawCeara
1-0 @ 13.24% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 11.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.12% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 60.76%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 16.51%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 23
Bahia
1-1
Ceara
Gilberto (57')
Bahia (35'), Paraiba (38'), Araujo (72')
Mendoza (54')
Pacheco (32'), Cleber (81')
Cleber (83')
Jun 17, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Ceara
1-2
Bahia
Saulo (16')
Mendoza (37'), Jorginho (67'), Pacheco (89')
Gilberto (31' pen., 35')
Jonas (60'), Edson (81'), Anderson (86'), Douglas (90+6')
Dec 5, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 24
Bahia
0-2
Ceara

Edson (43'), Elias (50')
Vinicius (82'), Saulo (90+5')
Vinicius (29'), Tiago (73')
Aug 24, 2020 12am
Gameweek 5
Ceara
2-0
Bahia
Cleber (12'), Goncalves (75')
Oliveira (33')

Gregore (44'), Ronaldo (70')
Oct 21, 2019 11.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bahia
1-2
Ceara
Artur (75')
Guerra (32'), Elber (40')
Otavio (84', 93')
Bergson (17'), Cristovam (34'), Baxola (54')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo117312442024
2Cruzeiro11722178923
3BragantinoBragantino11722148623
4PalmeirasPalmeiras11713128422
5Fluminense116231512320
6Botafogo11533147718
7Bahia115331111018
8Mirassol114521712517
9Atletico Mineiro114521110117
10CearaCeara114341311215
11Corinthians114341214-215
12Gremio114341114-315
13Sao Paulo11263911-212
14InternacionalInternacional112541216-411
15Vasco da GamaVasco113171115-410
16Vitoria112451014-410
17FortalezaFortaleza112451015-510
18SantosSantos11227812-48
19JuventudeJuventude11227824-168
20Sport RecifeSport11038518-133


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