Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional0 - 1Bahia
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and Bahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-4 Nacional
Sunday, April 6 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, April 6 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bahia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Bahia |
34.48% ( 0.61) | 27.19% ( 0.32) | 38.33% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
