Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 28, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Boston River logo

Guarani
0 - 5
Boston River


Cantero (78')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Rodriguez (24'), Gutierrez (41'), Lopez Matturo (45+2', 65'), Barcia (49')
Gutierrez (39')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Guarani and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Guarani
Thursday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Boston River
Friday, May 23 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
GuaraniDrawBoston River
41.08% (2.696 2.7)27.58% (-0.217 -0.22)31.34% (-2.484 -2.48)
Both teams to score 48.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66% (0.304 0.3)57.34% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (0.241 0.24)78.17% (-0.245 -0.25)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (1.675 1.68)27.44% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (2.12 2.12)62.92% (-2.123 -2.12)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47% (-1.563 -1.56)33.53% (1.559 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83% (-1.744 -1.74)70.17% (1.739 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Guarani 41.07%
    Boston River 31.33%
    Draw 27.58%
GuaraniDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.326 0.33)
2-0 @ 7.69% (0.607 0.61)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.3 0.3)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.402 0.4)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.56 -0.56)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.365 -0.37)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.56 -0.56)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.33%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Boston River
3-3
Guarani
Gonzalez (27'), Ariel Noguera Rolon (50'), Albarracin (72')
Albarracin (90+4')
Mendieta (54'), Fernandez (60'), David Vargas Areco (90+1')
Mendieta (39'), Cantero (76')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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