Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente1 - 0Guarani
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Guarani.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, May 11 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 11 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Guarani
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 12.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.13%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Guarani |
66.09% ( -0.66) | 21.57% ( 0.24) | 12.34% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 39.88% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
