Boston River logo
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Independiente

Boston River
1 - 5
Independiente

Anello (7', 7')
Acosta (60'), Acosta (60'), Amado (84'), Amado (84')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Gimenez Rojas (14', 14', 61' pen., 61' pen.), Lautaro Millan (21', 21'), Tarzia (46', 46'), Hidalgo (90+2', 90+2')
Gimenez Rojas (71'), Gimenez Rojas (71')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Boston River and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Wanderers
Friday, May 2 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Independiente

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Independiente
Saturday, May 3 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 46.27%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.32%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Boston RiverDrawIndependiente
23.38% (0.876 0.88)30.35% (0.721 0.72)46.27% (-1.597 -1.6)
Both teams to score 36.82% (-0.785 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.79% (-1.387 -1.39)69.21% (1.389 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.27% (-0.911 -0.91)86.73% (0.91200000000001 0.91)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.93% (0.052 0.05)47.07% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)82.54% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (-1.551 -1.55)30.44% (1.553 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (-1.885 -1.89)66.64% (1.888 1.89)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 23.37%
    Independiente 46.26%
    Draw 30.34%
Boston RiverDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 4.84% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 1.22% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.37%
0-0 @ 14.32% (0.71 0.71)
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 30.34%
0-1 @ 17.04% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 10.13% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.259 -0.26)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 46.26%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Independiente
2-1
Boston River
Galdames (61', 90+1')
Galdames (58'), Loyola (90+5'), Lomonaco (90+3')
Munoa (86')
Acosta (52'), Adamo (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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