Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 3, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio El Fortin de Luduena
Rosario1 - 0Independiente
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Rosario
Saturday, April 26 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, April 26 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Independiente
Thursday, May 1 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, May 1 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Independiente |
41.14% ( 1.32) | 28.4% ( 0.12) | 30.46% ( -1.44) |
| Both teams to score 45.62% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
