MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 09:09:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 3, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio El Fortin de Luduena
Independiente

Rosario
vs.
Independiente

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Rosario
Saturday, April 26 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Deportivo Riestra
Monday, April 28 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Tucuman vs. Independiente
Thursday, May 1 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rosario Central win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Independiente has a probability of 32.07% and a draw has a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Independiente win is 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.19%).

Result
Rosario CentralDrawIndependiente
39.69% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 28.25% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 32.07% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.56% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.45% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)59.55% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)79.89% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.28% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)65.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)34.17% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)70.86% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 39.68%
    Independiente 32.06%
    Draw 28.24%
Rosario CentralDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 39.68%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.24%
0-1 @ 10.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 32.06%

Who will win Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario and Independiente?

Rosario Central
Draw
Independiente
Rosario Central
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Independiente
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Independiente
1-0
Rosario
Lomonaco (17')
Martinez (34'), Tarzia (43'), Marcone (44'), Hidalgo (80'), Mancuello (90+8'), Mancuello (90+8')

Martinez (24'), Ocampo (45'), Ortiz (45+5'), Barbieri (54')
Feb 14, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 5
Independiente
1-0
Rosario
Mancuello (32')
Neves (24'), Martinez (81'), Marcone (90+4')

Lovera (36'), Broun (81'), Lo Celso (90+2')
Sep 20, 2023 1am
Gameweek 5
Rosario
1-1
Independiente
Campaz (76')
Martinez (22'), Campaz (68')
Baez (45')
Martinez (35'), Baez (40'), Aguilar (82')
Apr 13, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 11
Rosario
1-0
Independiente
Campaz (23')
Jul 16, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Independiente
0-0
Rosario
Fernandez (54'), Vigo (54'), Pozzo (57'), Romero (67')
Montoya (16'), Buonanotte (60'), Blanco (75'), Frias (84')
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