Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 8, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente2 - 1Boston River
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Boston River.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lanus 1-1 Independiente
Sunday, April 6 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 6 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Juventud 4-1 Boston River
Saturday, April 5 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 5 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.46%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Boston River |
66.61% ( 0.59) | 21.51% ( -0.34) | 11.87% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 38.81% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
